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West Bromwich Albion v Bolton Wanderers
The Hawthorns, West Bromwich. 17th April 2006 8.00pm.
16th April 2006
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Position 19th 8th
Form L D L L D L W L L L L L
Last Match Arsenal (A) 1-3 Chelsea (H) 0-2
Last Meeting
23rd October 2005
Bolton Wanderers 2 (Nakata 81, Nolan 90)
West Bromwich Albion 0
Last Baggies win in this fixture was 2-1 on 2nd October 2004
Kanu and Gera scored a goal each in the space of seven second half minutes to give Gary Megson his first and only Albion win of last season. Stelios scored from a free kick late on but Albion held on for the three points. That is Albion's only win over Bolton in their last seven visits to the Hawthorns.
No second chances, no excuses - the match at the Hawthorns on Monday evening is a must-win encounter in the realest sense of the word. In my mind, there is no doubt that Albion will be relegated should they fail to beat Bolton, irrespective of other results. Of course, mathematically, it will not be over, but in real terms, anything other than three points will spell a return to the second flight of English football.

Of course, even three points will still leave Albion with a tough task to stay up - from where we are now, it will be a Great Escape equally as remarkable as last year's. Indeed, with four games to go last season, Albion were only a point from safety with a game in hand - now, we are four points adrift having played the same games. The one significance is that we do not have to play Arsenal and Manchester United, those games have already gone without a return. All four of Albion's remaining games should be considered winnable, but Albion might just have to win the lot to stay up.

As for Monday's game, Albion face a Bolton side in a terrible run of form. After beating Sunderland a month ago, Bolton were in with a real chance of making a genuine challenge for the final Champions League place - they were four points behind fourth-placed Spurs with two games in hand. But after five consecutive defeats, they are now eleven points behind Spurs and are fighting for stay in touch with the UEFA Cup spots. Two of those defeats were to Man Utd and Chelsea at the Reebok, where they hadn't lost since August, but Bolton's real failure this season has been on their travels. They have lost eight times away from home including the recent defeat to Birmingham. Since their 4-0 win at Everton in December, they have picked up just three points from away Premiership games and have lost the last four.

So it looks like a good time to play them, although they will obviously look at a trip to the second bottom club as a chance to reignite their quest for a second successive season of European football.

Sam Allardyce's most influential player this season must be Stelios Giannakopoulos. The Greek attacking midfielder is Bolton's top scorer this season with an impressive twelve goals, and plenty of assists. Just behind him in the scoring charts is Kevin Nolan with eleven goals - another midfielder who has the knack of finding himself in goalscoring positions with alarming regularity. However, Diouf has failed to reproduce last season's goalscoring form and Kevin Davies has also failed to find the net as often as he would like. Bolton's main strength continues to be their set pieces, which is perhaps why the goalscoring duties are spread around. But even that area of the game has failed to produce in recent weeks as Bolton have failed to find the net at all in their last three games.

But Bolton's apparent recent frailties do not alter the fact that they are a difficult team to beat, but beat them is exactly what Albion must do. Bryan Robson must put out an attacking team and, maybe, he should consider the option of not picking a substitute 'keeper to allow of as many attacking options on the bench as possible.

A suspension for Ronnie Wallwork will perhaps tempt Robson into replacing him with a more attacking player. Leaving the defensive midfield duties to Nigel Quashie alone is obviously a risk, but being able to play Greening, Gera, Kamara, Kanu and Ellington from the start could give Albion the edge to get a couple of early goals, and allow Robson to bring a more defensive player on to protect the lead. It may be a risky strategy, but what do Albion have to lose at this stage of the season? It really is win or bust.

Of course, the Duke is still a doubt with his foot injury, so that option may not be available, but for me, the opportunities that could be created with Kanu feeding Ellington and Kamara lead me to believe that all three should start up front, should they all be fit.

My team would be as follows:

Kuszczak; Albrechtsen, Davies, Clement, Robinson; Greening, Quashie, Gera; Kanu, Ellington, Kamara.

Subs: Inamoto, Watson, Campbell, Nicholson, Carter.

Three points for Albion will take them into 18th place with Birmingham not playing until Wednesday - hopefully their defeat at Villa Park will have knocked the stuffing out of them. Portsmouth are clear favourites to stay up having picked up fourteen points from a possible eighteen, but hopefully Charlton will do us another favour and take the points in their game on Monday afternoon. A favourable result could give Albion a boost - they certainly need one.

It's time to win, at any cost.

Jon Want, 16th April 2006.
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